BASIC (03-86)

DI 39503.245 Fiscal Year 1976 Facts

The letters and numbers in this narrative explanation correspond to those on Exhibit A, DI 39503.240

A. Dispositions

The actuary estimates 155,600 dispositions for fiscal year 1976. This is a 6 percent decrease over fiscal year 1975.

B. Work-years used (prior year)

539

1. Workload count

155,600 - 165,535
   307
=32

2. Workload mix

a. CE rate

The estimated fiscal year 1976 rate is 18 percent. Therefore, the rate has decreased by 2 percent when compared to fiscal year 1975 (20 percent).

155,600 ×-.02 = -3,112 cases

-3,112 cases ×130 minutes = -404,560 minutes

404,560 minutes ÷60 = 6,743 hours

-6,743 hours ÷1,750 = 3.85 work-years

b. GPE rate

The estimated rate in fiscal year 1976 is 20 percent. Therefore, the rate has increased by 4 percent when compared to fiscal year 1975 (16 percent).

155,600 cases ×.04 = 6,224 cases

6,244 cases ×90 minutes = 560,160 minutes

560,160 minutes ÷60 = 9,336 hours

9,336 hours ÷1,750 = +5.33 work-years

c. MER rate

The rate is expected to increase by 3.5 percent from fiscal year 1975 to fiscal year 1976.

155,600 cases ×.035 = 5,446 cases

5,446 cases ×15 minutes = 81,690 minutes

81,690 minutes ÷60 = 1,362 hours

1,362 hours ÷1,750 = +.77 work-years

3. Substance

a. Denial letters

There are no changes anticipated for fiscal year 1976.

b. Upgrade recon process

No changes are estimated during fiscal year 1976.

c. Quality assurance

The State agency estimates that 1,600 DA&A cases will be sampled during fiscal year 1976. Therefore, 2,100 cases sampled in fiscal year 1975 compared to 1,600 cases sampled in fiscal year 1976 indicates a decrease of 500 cases sampled.

-500 cases ×105 minutes = 52,500 minutes

-52,500 minutes ÷60 = -875 hours

-875 hours ÷1,750 = -.50 work-years

d. ARS

No changes are anticipated for fiscal year 1976.

e. Medical reports gathering

No changes were estimated by the State agency for fiscal year 1976.

4. Procedures

a. Short form

No changes are anticipated by the State agency.

b. Checklist elimination

No changes are anticipated by the State agency.

c. Routing form elimination

No changes are anticipated during fiscal year 1976.

5. Indirect time

a. Training

Refer to the fiscal year 1975 set of facts for the fiscal year 1976 computations.

b. Increase in staff positions

Refer to the fiscal year 1975 set of facts for the fiscal year 1976 data.

c. Supervisory staff

No changes are anticipated for fiscal year 1976.

6. Other productivity

a. Nonrecurring decentralization

The State agency estimated 3.25 work-years in fiscal year 1975. For fiscal year 1976, they estimated .15 work-years. When 3.25 is compared to .15, there is a decrease of -3.10 work-years (.15 - 3.25). Therefore, -3.10 is posted in the workpower analysis table for fiscal year 1976, representing a savings due to a nonrecurring activity.

b. Forced productivity

No changes were estimated by the State agency for fiscal year 1976.

c. IBM sorter experiment

Since this experiment was started and completed in fiscal year 1975, no workpower is required for fiscal year 1976. Therefore, a minus .71 work-years is posted for fiscal year 1976 in order to eliminate this activity from the budget.

d. Productivity improvement

The State agency estimated that as a result of increased job knowledge on the part of trainee examiners and streamlining of operations, 23.3 minutes per